Patched Tube

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About Patched Tube

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  • Birthday 06/07/1962

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  • Location Washington, DC
  • Gender Male
  • Springsteen fan since? Vicky played me "Born to Run"
  • Does Mary's dress wave or sway? A question for the philosophers
  • Sex? mainly solo

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  1. Finally...REAL football starts tonight....

    They had those things back in the 70s... we called them a "grass mask".
  2. US Presidential Race Potpourri Thread

    "Driving this trend: The Baby Boomer generation of coal-fired power plants built in the 1950s and ’60s is retiring, after decades of being excused from the most stringent pollution rules." There a lot of plants in the Ohio Valley especially who have been coasting on waivers for years if not decades. The bottom line was these old "short stack" plants should have either shut down or complied a long time ago. In the end it is cheaper to convert to natural gas than retrofit to burn coal - particularly the high sulfur coal found in the Appalachian fields. Moreover in Appalachia the easy to get to, high quality coal is mostly gone. With export markets declining in both China and Europe the coal industry is in the buggy whip business.
  3. US Presidential Race Potpourri Thread

    And I'm not buying that $300B figure. I want some data and not some random statement on a web site called "hot air". Indeed.
  4. US Presidential Race Potpourri Thread

    He let all those natural gas wells get drilled.
  5. Since We're Now Talking VEEPs

    Lol.... so was I. Sort of.
  6. Since We're Now Talking VEEPs

    I'm sure you are correct.... I should have gone with a pink font. My poorly stated point is I'm having trouble seeing a conventional pick by Trump for VP so that leaves.... well beats me. I really have no idea who would get that nod. Joe Arpaio? If Buchanan wasn't so old and out of the public eye... if he choose one of the Kardashians I wouldn't be surprised. In a sane world if Trump was more conventional maybe he cuts some sort of deal with Kaisich and names him his choice before the covention but I just can't make that case with a straight face.
  7. Trump's New Target...Sanders Supporters.

    Yeah I can see the attraction to that line of thought myself. However I am mindful of the old saying that it is easier to burn down the outhouse than it is to install plumbing. I'd like a few more details on what comes next.
  8. CV of failures

    You are right about that. Informal discussions go a small way towards waving people off bad methods but not enough. No result (inconclusive) rarely get published as you say. Negative results sometimes do by way of getting a negative result, following it up and coming up with a new hypothesis but they aren't explicitly reported as a negative result. They should be reported more often. On the bright side there is a movement afoot, particularly in the life and social sciences, to really come to grips with the replication problem and "P hacking" which is indirectly addressing the no result issue.
  9. Since We're Now Talking VEEPs

    It's not going to be Kaine or Warren; Castro is being floated buts it's real early yet and Castro has his own issues; you could wish for a slightly more impressive resume. Trump is now the presumptive GOP nominee (there, I said it) and his choice of veep is very complicated. On paper he would choose a thoroughly coventional politician with experience in foreign affairs and good ties to the House and Senate. The problem goes beyond identifying someone - it's getting them to actually sign on. The CW amongst most political insiders is Trump is going to get beaten like a drum in the fall (doesn't matter if it's true - for this discussion it's what they think is true). So who is going to sign up for a suicide mission that will be regarded as little more than treason by the GOP establishment? Christie? Maybe but he brings his own liabilities and Trump clearly doesn't respect him. Okay Trump could go outside the Beltway and pick.... who exactly? Who is going to climb into bed with him? Buffet? Bloomberg? Right... At this point I'd say Carson (WTF not?) and Knight have as good a shot as anybody.
  10. CV of failures

    I remember reading the memoirs of Admiral Gallery in which he lamented the notion that you can't browbeat knowledge into someone's head, observing that he had plenty of knowledge inparted that way. My template for instruction to this day is "explanation, demonstration and practical application" with lots of time allocated for repetition. I'd also add that there are underappreciated virtues to negative reinforcement. While it can be abusive (as a rule don't undress people in public) it can be very effective. I once thoroughly botched a citation (quoting a quote in a source) and got an absolutely withering comment by my professor on an otherwise good paper. I can recite his comment from memory and I've never screwed up a citation since.
  11. CV of failures

    Yeah... I'd say the same thing is true in science. A lot of ideas just don't pan out. It's perfectly normal to study a problem and take a stab at it and fail. The numbers don't add up or some procedure doesn't pan out or a piece of equipment you MacGyver just doesn't work. Okay... you try again. Hopefully you learned something and the outlines of the problem are a bit clearer. At worst at least one option is off the table. You look at a ten page journal article and it may represent a year and a half of work (granted not full time) for several people. What isn't in the article is the twelve times somebody stood at white board and failed to derive an equation or that the time the acid you were using as an electrolyte corroded your sensor faster than you could get useful data. Or you dropped a $10000 piece of gear off the side of a mountain and spent three hours finding it and a week repairing it (one of my less illustrious moments).
  12. CV of failures

    Grit, or as I like to call it, stubbornness seems like it's having its moment in the sun. Good; it's seriously under rated as an ingredient for success. Just hanging in there a little longer can go a long way to making up for deficiencies in native genius and even an abundance of talent takes you only so far; as they say in baseball "sooner or later you have to learn how to pitch". i once worked with a lawyer who was obsessive about editing; if a document was due at 5:00 and it was 4:55 there was time for one more editing pass. He was never satisfied with a good word, he wanted the right word. It drove me a bit nuts at the time but he taught me editing is an iterative process. I'm a huge proponent of "working smarter not harder" but... when you are out of smarts working harder is the only option. I once knew a very smart young man - double major in mathematics and geology, accepted to Columbia for grad school and seemingly destined for greatness: he flamed out in less than a year. He'd always gotten by on talent and didn't do well when pushing up against its limits. He had three less talented classmates who also went to grad school who did very well. The crucial difference being, IMO, they had spent the previous four years scratching and clawing for their grades, staying in the lab till midnight or spending Saturday in a coffee shop hacking away at mathematics. This is excellent psychological preparation for grad school where stubbornness goes a long way. I would say that, while I wouldn't recommend it, is that my time in the army helped in this way. There is no working smarter on a 15 mile ruck march, you just have to gut it out. I'm a big proponent of endurance sports in high school - long distance running or swimming - very little chance of an inflated ego (who cares about the track team?) but lots of opportunity for character building.
  13. CV of failures

    The routine should suffer from a pretty low rate of failure but the moment you are trying something new... well if you bat .300 you go to the HOF. It takes a lot of time to develop something new and failure is part of the process. I'd love to have a method that takes an idea from conception to execution in a straight line; in my experience at best it's a zig zag. At best.
  14. RIP Prince

    And cover art!
  15. RIP Prince

    That was a good piece. I was especially struck by his point about the album. Yeah, it was a big piece of change back in the day and we, or at least I, listened to every track repeatedly - downloading a single just wasn't an option. Body of work made a big difference.